Matrix Evolutions: Synthetic Correlations and Explainable Machine Learning for Constructing Robust Investment Portfolios
نویسندگان
چکیده
In this article, the authors present a novel and highly flexible concept to simulate correlation matrixes of financial markets. It produces realistic outcomes regarding stylized facts empirical requires no asset return input data. The matrix generation is based on multiobjective evolutionary algorithm, so call approach matrix evolutions. suitable for parallel implementation can be accelerated by graphics processing units quantum-inspired algorithms. useful backtesting, pricing, hedging correlation-dependent investment strategies products. Its potential demonstrated in machine learning case study robust portfolio construction multi-asset universe: An explainable program links synthetic volatility spread hierarchical risk parity versus equal contribution. TOPICS:Statistical methods, big data/machine learning, construction, performance measurement Key Findings ▪ introduce evolutions an algorithm market applications. They apply resulting benchmark (HRP) contribution allocations futures find HRP show lower risk. evaluate three competing methods regress between both allocation against statistical features then discuss local global feature importance using SHAP framework Lundberg Lee (2017).
منابع مشابه
Constructing investment strategy portfolios by combination genetic algorithms
The classical portfolio problem is a problem of distributing capital to a set of securities. By generalizing the set of securities to a set of investment strategies (or security-rule pairs), this study proposes an investment strategy portfolio problem, which becomes a problem of distributing capital to a set of investment strategies. Since the investment strategy portfolio problem can be formul...
متن کاملConstructing New and Better Evaluation Measures for Machine Learning
Evaluation measures play an important role in machine learning because they are used not only to compare different learning algorithms, but also often as goals to optimize in constructing learning models. Both formal and empirical work has been published in comparing evaluation measures. In this paper, we propose a general approach to construct new measures based on the existing ones, and we pr...
متن کاملHow can machine learning help stock investment?
The million-dollar question for stock investors is if the price of a stock will rise or not. The fluctuation of stock market is violent and there are many complicated financial indicators. Only people with extensive experience and knowledge can understand the meaning of the indicators, use them to make good prediction to get fortune. Most of other people can only rely on lucky to earn money fro...
متن کاملAsymmetric Correlations of Equity Portfolios∗
Correlations between U.S. stocks and the aggregate U.S. market are much greater for downside moves, especially for extreme downside moves, than for upside moves. We develop a new statistic for measuring, comparing, and testing asymmetries in conditional correlations. Conditional on the downside, correlations in the data differ from the conditional correlations implied by a normal distribution b...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The journal of financial data science
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2640-3943', '2640-3951']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3905/jfds.2021.1.056